A Conceptual Framework for a Dynamic Model for Regional Planning: Towards Sustainable Development for Bali, Indonesia

The tourism boom in Bali in the ‘90s resulted in tourism becoming the major component of economic development. However, as a small island, the capacity of Bali to enhance its development is dictated largely by natural resource limitations. Development planning for Bali should recognise such limitations and, in addition, adopt a holistic view of the bio-physical and socio-demographic conditions. A dynamic model within a systems-thinking framework is considered beneficial both as a pedagogic device in understanding how various island-based systems function and as a useful tool in assisting decision-makers in development planning. This paper outlines a conceptual systems dynamics model for an island system based on the mental models of knowledgeable government officials and stakeholders elicited through interviews, seminars and a workshop.